This year’s statistics so far indicate a modest improvement in our overall
real estate market. Although we do not see appreciation in all areas and in
fact, some areas show decline, with only 244 sales of residential properties
reported so far, it is too soon to predict a trend.
For example, we could get really depressed when we see that sales for Coeur
d’Alene and Dalton Gardens are behind last year by 11 percent, but then we
could get excited when we see the average price for that geography is up by
20 percent. These statistics somehow lose their impact when we see that the
11 percent decline in sales only reflects a difference of nine total
residences, or four and a half per month.
Or, take for example the South Kootenai County statistic that shows a
whopping 50 percent increase in sales and a 99 percent increase in average
price! When you have two sales compared to three, it’s easy to see that
there is not a lot of cause to celebrate.
Still, when we look at overall performance in our Multiple Listing Service,
we are encouraged that market activity continues to grow. Admittedly the
growth is moderate at best, but we are showing consistent improvement when
measured over the past several months. Regular readers will recall that
2011 was the third consecutive year of increased sales numbers since 2008.
At year’s end 2011 we showed a four percent increase from 2010.
This year – it is early yet – we are showing a 10.6% increase in the number
of sales when we include all geographical areas and all types of residential
properties compared to last year. Excluded of course are multi-family
properties. Included are mobile homes, condos, and high end waterfront
properties. When we look at this inclusive category we see that the average
price is still lagging at nine percent below last year. Our median price
however – this means half the homes sold were above and half below – shows a
one percent improvement over the same time last year.
Condominium prices appear to be inching up still with our average condo
price ten percent higher than at this time last year. This could be why the
number of sales this year to date are down from a total of 33 in 2011 to 26
in 2012.
Waterfront property sales are now 70 percent higher – 17 compared to 10 last
year – but the average price so far is 28 percent lower than last year. Not
to panic though, because these properties vary greatly in price and a few
lower priced properties can drag down the averages.
We are gradually absorbing active inventory. Last year at this time we had
a total of 6,041 properties listed in the Coeur d’Alene Multiple Listing
Service. Today we have 5,567. As we continue to absorb inventory we look
for new construction to increase and for prices to stabilize and ultimately
increase.
Interest rates for mortgages of all types are still very low and should
contribute to sustained activity in all market sectors. At least we are
seeing that prices are now making it affordable to own a home and in many
cases folks can buy cheaper than they are renting.
Stay tuned. As the years passes more sales will provide a better picture of
what we can expect from the market.